Liberals Win 2025 Election: Mark Carney to Remain Prime Minister Amid Trade War
What this means for you: The Liberal Party has won a fourth term, keeping Mark Carney as Prime Minister. For your wallet, this likely means a continued focus on stabilizing the housing market and fighting against new U.S. tariffs. Because the Liberals won only a minority government, they will need support from other parties to pass laws, which could change how new taxes and benefits are rolled out.
The Election Results
Canadians voted on April 28, 2025. The result is a Liberal minority government.
- Liberal Party: Won the most seats. Mark Carney remains Prime Minister.
- Popular Vote: The Liberals received 43.76% of the total vote.
- Conservative Party: Won the popular vote in only Alberta and Saskatchewan.
- Opposition Leaders: Both Pierre Poilievre (Conservative) and Jagmeet Singh (NDP) lost their own ridings.
This election was mostly about the economy. Voters chose Mr. Carney largely because of his experience as a central banker. Many Canadians believe he is the best person to handle the high cost of living and the threat of a trade war with the United States.
Who is affected?
- Homeowners and Buyers: The government is expected to continue its current policies on housing. This includes attempts to stabilize prices and manage mortgage rates.
- Workers in Export Industries: With the trade war continuing, your jobs depend on Canada's relationship with the U.S. The government plans to focus heavily on keeping trade open.
- Taxpayers: The NDP lost official party status. This means the Liberals will need to find different partners in Parliament to pass legislation. This could change what kinds of tax changes or benefits get approved.
What you should do
- Review your budget: The government has signaled it will continue to focus on "stabilizing" the economy. This suggests interest rates may not drop quickly. Prepare your budget for current borrowing costs to remain for a while.
- Watch for trade updates: The biggest risk to the economy right now is U.S. tariffs. If you work in manufacturing, agriculture, or auto parts, pay close attention to news about negotiations.
- Check your benefits: With the NDP losing power, future support for social programs may change. Keep an eye on the upcoming federal budget to see if your benefits (like CPP or EI) are impacted by the new political landscape.
Bottom line
Canada has re-elected the Liberal Party with Mark Carney at the helm. The country faces a divided parliament (a minority government) and a tense economic relationship with the U.S. Expect policies to focus on experience and economic stability rather than drastic changes.